The Stage Analysis members weekend video starts this week with a focus on the Semiconductors group, as around 1/4 of the group are reporting earnings in the coming week, and have shown strong relative strength since the start of the month, rising back up the relative strength rankings and and industry group bell curve.

Exclusive graphic of the 104 Dow Jones Industry Groups showing the Percentage of Stocks Above 30 week MA in each group visualised as a Bell Curve chart – inspired by the Sector Bell Curve work by Tom Dorsey in his Point & Figure book....

The Sector breadth table has deteriorated further through June as it currently sits at 22.95%, but it did get down to a new 2022 low of 15.78% on the 17th June. So it has improved by +7.17% over the last two weeks...

Broad based selling today with stocks accelerating to the downside in the afternoon session after initially attempting to hold up during the morning, and if you zoom into the intraday 2 hour chart...

This weekends Stage Analysis Members Video features Stage Analysis of the major crypto coins – Bitcoin and Ethereum on multiple timeframes. And then in the members only portion of the video the usual Forest to the Trees approach...

Energy remains the leading group in the Stage 2 zone, and has pushed back above the 90% level once more. I talked in the previous post about looking for new leadership in sectors that reverse strongly back out of the lower zone, of which Basic Materials and Industrials have been the first movers in the last few weeks.

The Stage Analysis Members Midweek Video features Analysis of the Stages of the major US sectors, as well as a look at the sector breadth visual the custom IBD Industry Groups Bell Curve – Bullish % chart that I do for the members that shows the distribution of the 200 IBD Industry Groups as a bell curve chart...

The majority of sectors have now fallen into the lower zone – which we haven't seen on the sector breadth visual since March 2020. So it's reached an extreme. But unlike the March 2020 visual, the current market still has a few sectors in the mid and upper zones, as Energy remains at very high level of 80.24%...

This weekends Stage Analysis Members Video features analysis of the Major US Stock Market Indexes and ETFs – S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000, IBD 50, ARKK, plus the VIX and also a look at the earnings reactions of some of the mega cap stocks that reported over the last week, including GOOGL, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN and more.

The major US indexes (i.e. the S&P 500, NYSE, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 etc) all closed the week at the lows, after Thursdays bounce attempt was convincingly rejected, and with multiple indexes already in Stage 4, the holdouts have now started to breakdown as well – with the S&P 500 and NYSE both making Stage 4 breakdown attempts at the end of the week. So risk is extremely elevated of the Stage 4 decline accelerating.