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The S&P 500 moved strongly back above its 20 day EMA today. But as you can see in the above chart, there's a notable difference with the S&P 500 percentage of stocks above their 20 day EMA (middle indicator) which is at 36.60%, as with the S&P 500 index above its 20 day MA by almost 1%, you would expect at least 50% of S&P 500 to be doing the same...

The Percentage of US Stocks Above Their 150 day Moving Averages in the 11 major sectors has dropped significantly since the previous post of the 6th March 2023, decreasing by -16.88% to 34.31% overall, which moves the overall average into the lower third, which is the Stage 4 zone...

This weekends video begins with a detailed discussion of the IBD Industry Groups Bell Curve – Bullish Percent and the Market Breadth Indicators, in order to help to determine the weight of evidence, which is the most crucial aspect of Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis method. The changes in the US Stocks Industry Groups RS Rankings are then discussed, as well as the Major Indexes Update and Futures, including the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000, US Dollar Index, Gold etc. Followed by a review of the watchlist stocks from the weekend scans.

For the watchlist from the weekend scans...

The IBD Industry Groups Bell Curve declined for a sixth week losing a further -7.33% to finish at 31.19% overall. The amount of groups in Stage 4 increased by 41 (+20.5%), and the amount of groups in Stage 2 decreased by 16 (-8%), while the amount groups in Stage 1 or Stage 3 decreased by 24 (-12%).

Custom Percentage of Stocks Above Their 50 Day, 150 Day & 200 Day Moving Averages Combined Market Breadth Charts for the Overall US Market, NYSE and Nasdaq for Market Timing and Strategy.

The purpose of the Relative Strength (RS) tables is to track the short, medium and long term RS changes of the individual groups to find the new leadership earlier than the crowd...

The Stage Analysis Technical Attributes (SATA) score is our proprietary indicator that helps to identify the four stages from Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis method, using a scoring system from 0 to 10 that rates ten of the key technical characteristics that we look for when analysing the weekly charts. 

The Stage Analysis members midweek video discussing this weeks volatile price action in the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000 and the VIX, with a look at what the short-term market breadth indicators are suggesting. Plus a look at some of the this weeks major Stage 4 breakdown attempts. Followed by a detailed look at the US Watchlist Stocks from today scans and yesterdays post in more detail with live markups on multiple timeframes.

Crude Oil has been weakening gradually since topping a year ago in early March 2022, where it had what's know in the Wyckoff method as a Buying Climax (BC) and Change of Behaviour as the Automatic Reaction (AR)....