RE: UK Stocks - Watchlist and Discussion (Premium)
(2014-04-24, 11:07 PM)Tryst Wrote: Isatrader, with MOIL, what is your staged analysis take on this one? Is it still in stage 1 until it sticks a weekly landing above your 2nd resistance line? So a close above this resistance would be bullish tomorrow...as it starts a stage 2A?
In my opinion it broke out into Stage 2A at the beginning of the year on the weekly close above the lower trendline that I marked on the chart, as it also broke above it's relative performance zero line, the 30 week MA went flat, and it had a small volume pickup - although, not enough to meet the methods requirements for an entry, and it was still below a lot of resistance, which has contributed to it's volatile Stage 2 so far. Also it was a very early breakout.
So I'd now put it at it's second continuation point. But if it can clear the trendline from the 2013 swing high marked and see an increase in volume, then it will be in a much better position to potentially continue its advance.
(2014-04-24, 11:07 PM)Tryst Wrote: The oil and gas producers sector is one of no trend, so would you still consider a trade in that case?
Re. the oil and gas producers you can see that some stocks are in bear markets while others the path of least resistance is higher, which explains the sectors lack of primary trend.
The Oil and Gas Producers chart (NMX0530) is in a very broad Stage 1 range, so although not the strongest sector, it's also not the weakest, as it currently resides 19th in the overall relative performance rankings out of 39. And hence only stocks with the very best A+ technical patterns in the group would be tradable imo.
Personally, I'd say MOIL.L has a B or C grade technical pattern currently, as it only has a small base and hardly any volume increase since Stage 2 began, and it's not clear what that volume surge in March was.
isatrader
Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.