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Therfore when i look at a method, to know if this method is effective, i simply look at the success of people who use it.. . . .

Hi Seb, welcome. That question is relevant if you were putting money into a fund which he runs. On the other hand, the question we face as individual punters is not what someone else has done, but whether we can implement the stage analysis concept and make money from it. You have to look back over some shares which have broken into stage 2 and say would I have been able in practice to get an entry, what would the risk be, and would I have been able in practice to exit at a suitable price.