[isatrader]

I was looking for word expectancy in this forum and did not find one.

I am sure somebody made at least 50 trades using this method. Could anyone calculate expectancy of this method?

I'd be surprised if you did find it, as Weinstein's method is not an automated method, and requires a certain amount of discretionary judgement by the trader or investor following it as well as the technical setups, and so every person will have a different result even if they trade the exact same stocks. My personal experience with the method has been quite favorable, and has continued to improve over the last few years as I've come to understand the method better, and weed out my earlier mistakes. All of which can be seen in my journal thread where I post my trades.

This website and my previous thread on T2W have been a way for me to learn the method in much greater depth, by interactions with other people applying it, and working through some of the more grey areas that the book only briefly touched on.

At the end of the day, the method has been around for over 30 years and is still highly regarded today as it is based on some timeless principles of price action, volume, relative performance versus the market/sector, support & resistance, and the weight of evidence from the market breadth gauges that show whats going on under the surface of the market, such as the advance decline line, new highs - new lows etc.

Weinstein's monthly institutional newsletter, the Global Trend Alert is still available today and costs around $60,000 a year, and so is out of reach of the average investor, but the fact that it's lasted for over 20 years speaks volumes imo.

So does Weinstein's method have an edge? I believe so, from my years of studying it, but it's going to take me many more years to be able to prove that statistically with a significant sample size, as I trade the investor method, and hence try to only invest in a certain amount of stocks that meet the A+ criteria when the market conditions are in alignment.

One of the purposes of this website when I started it, was to forward test the method. So I'd recommend taking the time to study the various threads as I think it shows that it is a solid timeless method, that if followed correctly can produce some outstanding results. But I'd emphasize the followed correctly part, as many people only follow small parts of it and so don't take the time to fully understand it.