RE: Beginners Questions
(2014-09-02, 10:42 PM)Tryst Wrote: Hi all,
just touching a bit on what was last discussed here, knowing when to get out of a trade either in full or lightly, and how to use the MAs as a determinant.
Looks at the chart below of L.GLEN. Lets say that an initial trade was placed (a toe in the water so to speak) on the breakout of resistance at around 348 early July, now what would peoples next trade location be based on this chart? Would it be:
a) the next touch of the 10 week MA?
b) the retreat on low volume back to support (prior resistance)?
c) or something else?
Personally, I'd say c) in this case as although GLEN.L broke out into Stage 2A; it did so on only just slightly better than average volume, and then there wasn't any improvement in the week following, and then it pulled back on similar volume on the third week after only making a tiny bit of headway. So that's not the kind of price action I'm looking for, as I want to see a stock explode out of the gates at the Stage 2A breakout point on heavy relative volume - 2x the weekly average is a minimum requirement. Ideally you want to see 3x average weekly volume or much more even as you've got to always be considering the opportunity costs of each trade. You then want to see the stock trade higher for multiple weeks. There's no guidelines for this in the book, but from my experience of the A+ charts, it will be a minimum of four weeks before it starts to turn around for a pullback or retest of the breakout level, and it would have made a strong initial run (30%+), and all of the up weeks should have had heavy volume, and then the volume should contract significantly on the pullback to below average levels.
So I wouldn't be adding to it, as the initial position hasn't proved itself to have the A+ characteristics that we look for in the method. As they are the only positions I'd be looking to add to, and so I'd be watching for the next continuation attempt and whether things improve at that point instead.
isatrader
Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.