RE: Stan Weinstein's Stage Analysis and Market Breadth - Technical Analysis
Oil v Oil & Gas Producers
This is based on comparing an WTI Crude ETF versus a selection of oild & gas businesses.
The oil price itself [1] has made a triangle / pennant shape, which it must break out of soon, one way or the other. Momentum would suggest upwards.
No divergences on A/D and A/D volume [2].
New Highs minus New Lows [3] is positive.
There has been a recent +ve cross of Weinstein Momentum [5], 1% A/D [6] did so six weeks ago, but has faltered but not crossed back [6].
The % stocks above their 20 day EMAs have pulled back sharply but may be recovering [11]. The % above their 50 day EMAs also pulled back but stayed above 50% [12]. There was a minor reduction in % above their 200 day EMAs, but nothing dramtic [13].
The Silver Cross Index [14], % stocks with their 20 day EMAs above their 50 day EMAs, is around 80%, having reduced a little, is below its 10 day EMA which is sloping down. So a little weaker but still strong.
The Gold Cross Index [15] is basically flat around 70%.
Breadth has pulled back in the shorter term but longer term it is still strong.