Monday 24 January 2021
Think the market is extended to the downside? History shows that it can get a lot worse.
See the NYSE Bullish Percent Index data since 1987
As I talked about in the weekend video. Although the Nasdaq is much lower, the NYSE is still playing catch up on downside. For it to become a major market Stage 4 decline, the NYSE stocks have got to selloff too including the defensive areas of the market.
On the intraday Bullish Percent charts the trend has gone vertical to the downside. So will be watching for signs of a turn in these. But a long way below the 30 bar MA currently.
Nasdaq Composite Bullish Percent Index since 1996 is weaker than the NYSE. But also still shows that at previous major lows it has been a lot worse. Focus on risk, not on trying to catch a bottom.
First signs of a intraday bounce attempt.
$VIX double top territory
$GLD Gold - RS through the zero line (52 week RS MA) for first time since 2020.
The tape is really heavy, but not seeing panic yet imo.
It's picking up steam now. Closer to -5% in the QQQ.
As we come towards the end of the day the Undercut and Rally / Spring type action scan is producing 161 results currently. Which is the highest I've seen it at, and clearly a big reversal intraday. So certainly a lot of stocks attempting to put in a swing low.
This has strengthened even more. Now up to 219.
Big change in the tape by the end of day with the undercut and & rally scan closing at 240 results. So it continued to strengthen into close. Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Small Caps 2 hour charts all showing Selling Climaxes (SC). Potential Phase A.
I've added the Undercut and Rally scan results as a .csv file attachment below. The best of them will be in the watchlist a bit later once I've gone through all of todays scans and refined it.
isatrader
Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
Fate does not always let you fix the tuition fee. She delivers the educational wallop and presents her own bill - Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.