[malaguti]

I think it just entered stage 2: the MA(30) just started an increasing trend and the share price just went above it. 

But I might be stage 1 still. I'm not sure. 

I have attached the graph I used to analyze it.

thats much better, now i can see what you are looking at: a daily chart. any reason why you've chosen daily on an investor method?
that aside, and applying the principles to daily
price is breaking up and down through the MA where the price was previously in an downtrend..suggesting a stage 1 still but a late stage 1 as the MA is clearly favouring the upside
you could argue that the stage 2 entry might have been june, but that would have been far too early in my opinion
so if price is in a stage 1 (on  a daily chart), where is the breakout point? 
you alluded to a recent breakout...i see an obvious breakout at 16, but given that price is still below yesterday, what breakout did you see?

now apply that to a weekly chart, where is the most obvious potential resistance?
if you were to buy after a close above 16 where is your stop loss.
what does that say given the possible resistance, and where your stop might currently be set if you were to enter

what sector is CPL in? presumably Energy..is that a strong sector right now?
what does the sector chart tell you about the possibilities of this stock?