Stage Analysis Forum - Trading & Investing using Stan Weinstein's Stocks Breakout method
US Stocks Breakouts & Breakdowns - SP500, NYSE, & Nasdaq Stock Charts - Printable Version

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RE: Watchlist - Traders method - isatrader - 2013-12-16

UK stocks with potential for Stage 2 continuation moves - HRG.L, AHT.L

RE: Watchlist - Traders method - goodtyneguy - 2013-12-18

Cable and Wireless CWC.L made a continuation move when it broke out today with a gap up on exceptional volume. The break out was from a consolidation having arguably broken above it's stage one base, a previous 2A break out having dropped below the 30 wma. It's a bit extended to get in at this price imo but one may consider it if presented with an opportunity for a secondary entry. Going off the size of the volume today, if profit taking comes in it may not drop below gap support.

The stock paid a dividend of just over 5% last year all though the payout has weakened since 2009. One thing which may be in it's favour is that although it is head quartered in London its operations are primarily in the less indebted and arguably less developed countries of central and latin america. It is also in the globally strong telecoms service sector.

PRT's chart does not go back very far but if you have access to chart that goes back to 2000 you will see that this stock was trading at over £500.

   


RE: Watchlist - Traders method - theory6453 - 2013-12-18

When I signed up for OptionMonsters' free account so I could view their sub-group performance page, they started sending me alert emails. I usually ignore them but this one seemed interesting. Bullish call activity on EA with a $25-$29 spread for March.

To me, it looks like EA has entered a Stage 3 and will likely go sideways for a couple months before it decides if it wants to move to Stage 2 continuation or Stage 4. It seems like the bulls here are thinking that the stock has pulled back quite a bit recently, and then couple that with 4Q earnings from Xmas video games sales probably expected to be positive, then it could be a good play to go long for a couple months until it at least hits the upper range of the Stage 3 channel.

It certainly would be speculating and it doesn't exactly fit with Stan's method but I would be curious to hear some feedback on this potential play. At $25, it would be about a 10% gain and at $29 it would be about a 30% move from today's price.

Thanks.

RE: Watchlist - Traders method - goodtyneguy - 2013-12-18

(2013-12-18, 07:58 PM)theory6453 Wrote: When I signed up for OptionMonsters' free account so I could view their sub-group performance page, they started sending me alert emails. I usually ignore them but this one seemed interesting. Bullish call activity on EA with a $25-$29 spread for March.

To me, it looks like EA has entered a Stage 3 and will likely go sideways for a couple months before it decides if it wants to move to Stage 2 continuation or Stage 4. It seems like the bulls here are thinking that the stock has pulled back quite a bit recently, and then couple that with 4Q earnings from Xmas video games sales probably expected to be positive, then it could be a good play to go long for a couple months until it at least hits the upper range of the Stage 3 channel.

It certainly would be speculating and it doesn't exactly fit with Stan's method but I would be curious to hear some feedback on this potential play. At $25, it would be about a 10% gain and at $29 it would be about a 30% move from today's price.

Thanks.

It also has a nice candlestick reversal pattern on the weekly, if it is a participant in the seasonal pattern the Santa Claus rally - assuming it repeats this year - then it will move higher. I am reliably informed that the Santa Claus rally does not start in earnest until the last 5 trading days of the year and usually lasts a couple of days into the new year. Although it may seem that there is a lot in favour of the trade if you put the all important 200 dma moving on your chart you will see it is having trouble moving above this. For that reason I would not take the trade at this point, apart from that I would not want to get in trouble with isatrader.... only kidding Smile

RE: Watchlist - Investor method - isatrader - 2013-12-18

The Dow Jones US Aluminum Index ($DJUSAL) is close to it's first potential Stage 2 continuation move after numerous years of declining and basing, and would complete a longer term Stage 1 base. The Alcoa chart (AA) looks to be the main cause of the move in the sector and has an extremely correlated chart. Volume roughly doubled on the initial Stage 2A breakout, but has calmed down since to around average, and relative performance is attempting to get clear of the zero line.

Attached are the weekly and monthly charts.

RE: Watchlist - Investor method - isatrader - 2013-12-19

A few longer term monthly charts for the watchlist - DEPO, BWEN, MLNK

RE: Watchlist - Investor method - isatrader - 2013-12-20

PNTR is attempting to make a monthly Stage 2A breakout on 3.75x the average monthly volume so far in December. Relative performance has moved above the zero line and the 30 month MA has turned up. It's extended short term as it's advanced over 150%+ since the weekly Stage 2A breakout in June, and 368% since the start of year low, so it's certainly had some extreme momentum this year. Attached is the monthly chart.

RE: Watchlist - Investor method - isatrader - 2013-12-20

AMRS is attempting to make a Stage 2A breakout. relative performance is just peaking it's head above the zero line and volume is around average so far this week.

It's been forming a Stage 1 base since mid 2012, but has some old resistance to around the $4 level that would be the point of a more significant breakout.